Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.7%
Leverkusen
15.7%
Draw
7.7%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Leverkusen
vs
0.71
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.8%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).