Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.2%
Manchester City
4.4%
Draw
2.4%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
4.88
Manchester City
vs
0.96
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.9%
Over 2.593.0%
Over 3.583.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
6.9%
5-0
6.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-1
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
2-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-2
3.1%
3-2
2.6%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).