Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Inter
24.7%
Draw
58.3%
Lugano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Inter
vs
2.01
Lugano
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).