Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Sociedad B
26.2%
Draw
22.9%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Sociedad B
vs
0.89
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).