Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Lecce
24.1%
Draw
13.4%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Lecce
vs
0.73
Spezia
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).