Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Leverstock Green
30.8%
Draw
41.7%
Ilford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Leverstock Green
vs
1.07
Ilford
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.555.5%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).