Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Grenoble
23.2%
Draw
35.5%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Grenoble
vs
1.34
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).