Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Union Berlin
26.6%
Draw
44.8%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Union Berlin
vs
1.58
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).