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HHT: 11CSV

12 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.2%
Bordeaux
19.5%
Draw
58.3%
Toulouse

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Bordeaux

vs
2.15

Toulouse

Markets

BTTS62.6%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.7%
0-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).