Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Malaga
25.0%
Draw
26.1%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Malaga
vs
1.07
Girona
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).