Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Preston
24.5%
Draw
13.4%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Preston
vs
0.68
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).