Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Mechelen
23.0%
Draw
17.7%
Beerschot VA
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Mechelen
vs
0.96
Beerschot VA
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).