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24 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
Cardiff
32.4%
Draw
33.1%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Cardiff

vs
1.03

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
11.7%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).