Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.4%
Cardiff
25.8%
Draw
58.8%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Cardiff
vs
1.68
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).