Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.4%
Cambridge
19.6%
Draw
8.9%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Cambridge
vs
0.47
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-0
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
1-2
2.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).