Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Brentford
21.1%
Draw
16.3%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Brentford
vs
1.15
Burnley
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.546.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
4-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).