Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Doncaster
24.2%
Draw
46.7%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Doncaster
vs
1.45
Bolton
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).