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AHT: 02CSV

24 Oct 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.1%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
23.0%
Draw
18.8%
Waasland-Beveren

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
1.02

Waasland-Beveren

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).