Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Celta
22.6%
Draw
16.0%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Celta
vs
0.82
Girona
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).