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AHT: 10CSV

11 Sept 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Valenciennes
25.1%
Draw
48.5%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Valenciennes

vs
1.40

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).