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17 Sept 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.2%
Karagumruk
24.1%
Draw
60.7%
Buyuksehyr

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Karagumruk

vs
2.20

Buyuksehyr

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-4
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).