Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Guimaraes
23.4%
Draw
54.6%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Guimaraes
vs
1.66
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.9%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).