Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Angers
20.8%
Draw
25.6%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Angers
vs
1.23
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
3.8%
0-0
3.6%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).