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AHT: 01CSV

14 Feb 2026 · 17:15

Gent

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.7%
Charleroi
23.6%
Draw
30.8%
Gent

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Charleroi

vs
1.50

Gent

Markets

BTTS66.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).