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12 Apr 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.1%
Kasimpasa
28.7%
Draw
13.3%
Yeni Malatyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Kasimpasa

vs
0.76

Yeni Malatyaspor

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).