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24 Aug 2024 · 14:30

Bochum

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.8%
RB Leipzig
16.9%
Draw
10.3%
Bochum

Expected Goals (xG)

2.52

RB Leipzig

vs
0.86

Bochum

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
1-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).