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15 May 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Hibernian
28.9%
Draw
32.8%
Motherwell

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Hibernian

vs
1.15

Motherwell

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).