Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Asteras Tripolis
30.5%
Draw
28.1%
Larisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Asteras Tripolis
vs
1.01
Larisa
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).