Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Paris FC
24.3%
Draw
43.7%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Paris FC
vs
1.47
Lorient
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).