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02 Dec 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.6%
Eupen
28.0%
Draw
49.4%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Eupen

vs
1.46

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
10.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).