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11 Feb 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.0%
Norwich
26.3%
Draw
20.7%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Norwich

vs
0.96

Preston

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).