Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Extremadura UD
28.7%
Draw
36.5%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Extremadura UD
vs
1.13
Granada
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).