Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.3%
Aris
10.4%
Draw
5.3%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Aris
vs
0.59
Nantes
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
3-0
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
5.2%
1-1
5.0%
5-1
3.1%
0-0
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).