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AHT: 12CSV

03 Oct 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.0%
Sandhausen
21.2%
Draw
64.8%
Darmstadt

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Sandhausen

vs
2.16

Darmstadt

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.0%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-4
3.8%
1-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).