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AHT: 00CSV

08 Jan 2022 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Vizela
24.3%
Draw
45.0%
Moreirense

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Vizela

vs
1.52

Moreirense

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).