Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Leeds
22.3%
Draw
12.1%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Leeds
vs
0.70
Millwall
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).