Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.7%
Augsburg
23.7%
Draw
59.6%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Augsburg
vs
1.88
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-2
11.0%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).