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13 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.0%
Getafe
31.6%
Draw
23.4%
Mallorca

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Getafe

vs
0.74

Mallorca

Markets

BTTS35.9%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.1%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).