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30 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.2%
Stevenage
29.9%
Draw
35.9%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Stevenage

vs
0.95

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS35.7%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.511.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.8%
1-0
15.3%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).