Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Stoke
31.9%
Draw
44.3%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Stoke
vs
1.22
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
14.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).