Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Mantova
26.8%
Draw
43.8%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Mantova
vs
1.60
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).