Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Karlsruhe
19.9%
Draw
17.2%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Karlsruhe
vs
1.23
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
3.7%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).