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AHT: 00CSV

26 Feb 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.9%
Hannover
21.6%
Draw
21.5%
Magdeburg

Expected Goals (xG)

2.24

Hannover

vs
1.34

Magdeburg

Markets

BTTS66.8%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
0-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).