Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Ceuta
21.9%
Draw
46.7%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Ceuta
vs
1.91
Castellon
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.0%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).