Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Wigan
23.4%
Draw
29.8%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Wigan
vs
1.15
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).