Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Halifax
24.8%
Draw
45.2%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Halifax
vs
1.78
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).