Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
AFC Wimbledon
30.0%
Draw
21.6%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.67
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.1%
0-0
15.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).