Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Morecambe
25.5%
Draw
49.6%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Morecambe
vs
1.45
Walsall
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).