Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
West Brom
25.5%
Draw
14.2%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
West Brom
vs
0.70
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).