Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Norwich
25.6%
Draw
58.1%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Norwich
vs
1.82
Burnley
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-2
11.1%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).